Will Chennai move closer to Delhi?
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TN election counted big in national govt formation back in 2004 and 2009. Whether this is repeated in 2024 may depend on how much BJP has weakened AIADMK, because DMK looks set for first place
In the 2004 and 2009 general elections, Tamil Nadu results proved decisive for the nation. Both times, the Congressled United Progressive Alliance (UPA I and II) govts were formed with the support of Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK). In 2004 the DMK-led alliance swept up all 39 seats in the state and in 2009 it won 27.
In 2014 the All-India Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) led by J Jayalalithaa made a big comeback, winning all but two seats even without an alliance. In 2019, the pendulum swung once again and the DMK-led alliance won all seats. On both these occasions, however, the Tamil results made no difference to the national outcome. Both times, BJP-led NDA formed a majority govt without Tamil Nadu, sidelining the southern mandate.
This piece appeared as an editorial opinion in the print edition of The Times of India.
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