Careful, it’s the year of dragon
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When the quinquennial electoral cycle concludes by middle of 2024, GOI will turn its attention to new policy priorities. China, presumably, would be one of these. China is a formidable power at our doorstep. As one China expert, Richard McGregor, pointed out earlier this month, its economy might be slowing down, but China is still responsible for a third of global manufacturing and will remain a strategic player for decades to come.
Four propositions might be valid in framing a new policy on China.
● First, the pre-2019 bilateral framework built by the two sides since 1988 seems to be irretrievably broken. Reason is China’s egregious violation of a basic understanding – that neither side will use force or threaten to use force to change the status quo.
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Disclaimer
Views expressed above are the author’s own.
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